Recent forecast guidance from sources including WeatherBug and regional models indicates Qingdao highs near 28–30°C on August 24 amid southerly flow, high humidity near 80–85%, and 40–45% storm chances tied to lingering regional moisture. This keeps trader focus on 32°C and 33°C as the tightest probabilities because modest clearing or slight model shifts in the subtropical ridge could allow brief afternoon warming above guidance. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover duration, which suppresses the diurnal temperature range, versus any late-day subsidence that could push peaks 2–3°C higher under comparable wind speeds around 10–15 km/h. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will clarify whether persistent showers or partial sun dominate the maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 24%
30°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
24%
32°C
35%
33°C
29%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 24%
30°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
24%
32°C
35%
33°C
29%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including WeatherBug and regional models indicates Qingdao highs near 28–30°C on August 24 amid southerly flow, high humidity near 80–85%, and 40–45% storm chances tied to lingering regional moisture. This keeps trader focus on 32°C and 33°C as the tightest probabilities because modest clearing or slight model shifts in the subtropical ridge could allow brief afternoon warming above guidance. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover duration, which suppresses the diurnal temperature range, versus any late-day subsidence that could push peaks 2–3°C higher under comparable wind speeds around 10–15 km/h. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will clarify whether persistent showers or partial sun dominate the maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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