Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 23–25°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon humidity and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or precipitation timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 24°C and 26°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 22–24°C at the Shuangliu station, with recent model runs from agencies like NOAA and CMA emphasizing persistent moisture that prevents sharper nighttime drops. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
20°C or below 83%
30°C or higher 83%
25°C 48%
21°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
83%
21°C
48%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
28%
25°C
48%
26°C
43%
27°C
42%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
83%
20°C or below 83%
30°C or higher 83%
25°C 48%
21°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
83%
21°C
$5 Vol.
48%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C
$0 Vol.
42%
28°C
$5 Vol.
5%
29°C
$5 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 23–25°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon humidity and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or precipitation timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 24°C and 26°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 22–24°C at the Shuangliu station, with recent model runs from agencies like NOAA and CMA emphasizing persistent moisture that prevents sharper nighttime drops. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 23–25°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon humidity and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or precipitation timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 24°C and 26°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 22–24°C at the Shuangliu station, with recent model runs from agencies like NOAA and CMA emphasizing persistent moisture that prevents sharper nighttime drops. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 23–25°C, driven by typical late-summer monsoon humidity and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or precipitation timing can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 24°C and 26°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 22–24°C at the Shuangliu station, with recent model runs from agencies like NOAA and CMA emphasizing persistent moisture that prevents sharper nighttime drops. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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