Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining heat across the region, with daytime maxima potentially reaching 39°C on August 24 amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements, driven by diurnal heating and regional moisture, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings, particularly in central urban zones projected near 36°C. Model spreads in rain timing and intensity—evident in recent runs—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38°C, as traders weigh historical August analogs and the slim chance of clearer, hotter conditions against thunderstorm development. Updated guidance and radar trends through the 24th will further refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
37°C 32%
36°C 28%
38°C 18%
35°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
7%
35°C
15%
36°C
28%
37°C
32%
38°C
18%
39°C or higher
6%
37°C 32%
36°C 28%
38°C 18%
35°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
$224 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$195 Vol.
2%
32°C
$406 Vol.
2%
33°C
$168 Vol.
4%
34°C
$137 Vol.
7%
35°C
$124 Vol.
15%
36°C
$107 Vol.
28%
37°C
$208 Vol.
32%
38°C
$313 Vol.
18%
39°C or higher
$173 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining heat across the region, with daytime maxima potentially reaching 39°C on August 24 amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements, driven by diurnal heating and regional moisture, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings, particularly in central urban zones projected near 36°C. Model spreads in rain timing and intensity—evident in recent runs—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38°C, as traders weigh historical August analogs and the slim chance of clearer, hotter conditions against thunderstorm development. Updated guidance and radar trends through the 24th will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,181Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining heat across the region, with daytime maxima potentially reaching 39°C on August 24 amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements, driven by diurnal heating and regional moisture, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings, particularly in central urban zones projected near 36°C. Model spreads in rain timing and intensity—evident in recent runs—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38°C, as traders weigh historical August analogs and the slim chance of clearer, hotter conditions against thunderstorm development. Updated guidance and radar trends through the 24th will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,181Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory highlight persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining heat across the region, with daytime maxima potentially reaching 39°C on August 24 amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements, driven by diurnal heating and regional moisture, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress peak readings, particularly in central urban zones projected near 36°C. Model spreads in rain timing and intensity—evident in recent runs—explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38°C, as traders weigh historical August analogs and the slim chance of clearer, hotter conditions against thunderstorm development. Updated guidance and radar trends through the 24th will further refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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