Persistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
28%
31°C
29%
32°C
23%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$111 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2 Vol.
28%
31°C
$13 Vol.
29%
32°C
$108 Vol.
23%
33°C
$21 Vol.
8%
34°C
$7 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$265Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$265Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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