National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 23 point to sunny skies and a high near 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge, with south-southwest winds around 5–10 mph and heat index values potentially reaching 112°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 106-107°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs and local observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress daytime heating. Persistent extreme heat conditions across North Texas, including ongoing advisories, have reinforced trader expectations for temperatures in the mid-to-upper 100s, while the 30% odds on 104-105°F reflect slight model variability in peak timing. Historical records for the date top out at 107°F, underscoring the narrow range traders are pricing in ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
106-107°F 43%
104-105°F 27%
108-109°F 22%
102-103°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
43%
108-109°F
22%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
4%
114-115°F
4%
116-117°F
2%
118-119°F
2%
120°F or higher
1%
106-107°F 43%
104-105°F 27%
108-109°F 22%
102-103°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
101°F or below
$10 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$7 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$20 Vol.
27%
106-107°F
$107 Vol.
43%
108-109°F
$15 Vol.
22%
110-111°F
$5 Vol.
5%
112-113°F
$28 Vol.
4%
114-115°F
$37 Vol.
4%
116-117°F
$50 Vol.
2%
118-119°F
$45 Vol.
2%
120°F or higher
$117 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 23 point to sunny skies and a high near 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge, with south-southwest winds around 5–10 mph and heat index values potentially reaching 112°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 106-107°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs and local observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress daytime heating. Persistent extreme heat conditions across North Texas, including ongoing advisories, have reinforced trader expectations for temperatures in the mid-to-upper 100s, while the 30% odds on 104-105°F reflect slight model variability in peak timing. Historical records for the date top out at 107°F, underscoring the narrow range traders are pricing in ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$361Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 23 point to sunny skies and a high near 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge, with south-southwest winds around 5–10 mph and heat index values potentially reaching 112°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 106-107°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs and local observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress daytime heating. Persistent extreme heat conditions across North Texas, including ongoing advisories, have reinforced trader expectations for temperatures in the mid-to-upper 100s, while the 30% odds on 104-105°F reflect slight model variability in peak timing. Historical records for the date top out at 107°F, underscoring the narrow range traders are pricing in ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$361Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 23 point to sunny skies and a high near 106°F under a strong upper-level ridge, with south-southwest winds around 5–10 mph and heat index values potentially reaching 112°F. This aligns with the market’s leading 106-107°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs and local observations show minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress daytime heating. Persistent extreme heat conditions across North Texas, including ongoing advisories, have reinforced trader expectations for temperatures in the mid-to-upper 100s, while the 30% odds on 104-105°F reflect slight model variability in peak timing. Historical records for the date top out at 107°F, underscoring the narrow range traders are pricing in ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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