Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23 near or slightly below the 69.5°F climatological average, driven by a persistent marine layer and southwesterly onshore flow under a balanced trough-ridge pattern. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 60s at downtown and coastal stations, with SFO potentially reaching the low 70s depending on exact boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price modest warming from recent 64–68°F readings, yet the strong Pacific influence and lack of ridge amplification keep probabilities clustered around 70–75°F. Updated model runs and evening marine layer observations will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$31 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$31 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$222 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$130 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$75 Vol.
32%
74-75°F
$190 Vol.
23%
76-77°F
$432 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$140 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$97 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23 near or slightly below the 69.5°F climatological average, driven by a persistent marine layer and southwesterly onshore flow under a balanced trough-ridge pattern. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 60s at downtown and coastal stations, with SFO potentially reaching the low 70s depending on exact boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price modest warming from recent 64–68°F readings, yet the strong Pacific influence and lack of ridge amplification keep probabilities clustered around 70–75°F. Updated model runs and evening marine layer observations will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,371Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23 near or slightly below the 69.5°F climatological average, driven by a persistent marine layer and southwesterly onshore flow under a balanced trough-ridge pattern. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 60s at downtown and coastal stations, with SFO potentially reaching the low 70s depending on exact boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price modest warming from recent 64–68°F readings, yet the strong Pacific influence and lack of ridge amplification keep probabilities clustered around 70–75°F. Updated model runs and evening marine layer observations will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,371Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23 near or slightly below the 69.5°F climatological average, driven by a persistent marine layer and southwesterly onshore flow under a balanced trough-ridge pattern. This setup favors afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 60s at downtown and coastal stations, with SFO potentially reaching the low 70s depending on exact boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to price modest warming from recent 64–68°F readings, yet the strong Pacific influence and lack of ridge amplification keep probabilities clustered around 70–75°F. Updated model runs and evening marine layer observations will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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