Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a daily minimum temperature near 58°F for San Francisco on August 23, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits overnight cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 57°F, with model consensus holding steady around 56–59°F amid partly cloudy skies and no significant atmospheric shifts. This alignment supports the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent any sudden cooling from strengthened upwelling or altered wind patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
68°F or higher 58%
49°F or below 55%
50-51°F 49%
66-67°F 41%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
49°F or below
55%
50-51°F
49%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
41%
68°F or higher
58%
68°F or higher 58%
49°F or below 55%
50-51°F 49%
66-67°F 41%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
49°F or below
$10 Vol.
55%
50-51°F
$20 Vol.
49%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
27%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
27%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
35%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
39%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
27%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
41%
68°F or higher
$5 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a daily minimum temperature near 58°F for San Francisco on August 23, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits overnight cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 57°F, with model consensus holding steady around 56–59°F amid partly cloudy skies and no significant atmospheric shifts. This alignment supports the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent any sudden cooling from strengthened upwelling or altered wind patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a daily minimum temperature near 58°F for San Francisco on August 23, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits overnight cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 57°F, with model consensus holding steady around 56–59°F amid partly cloudy skies and no significant atmospheric shifts. This alignment supports the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent any sudden cooling from strengthened upwelling or altered wind patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts point to a daily minimum temperature near 58°F for San Francisco on August 23, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits overnight cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 57°F, with model consensus holding steady around 56–59°F amid partly cloudy skies and no significant atmospheric shifts. This alignment supports the market’s leading implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent any sudden cooling from strengthened upwelling or altered wind patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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