Recent China Meteorological Administration and international model guidance points to daytime maxima near 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 25, with variable cloud cover and moderate southerly winds limiting full solar heating. Trader consensus clustering around the 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline while incorporating uncertainty from Yellow Sea breezes that typically suppress peaks by 1–3°C relative to inland areas. Lingering summer monsoon moisture raises the chance of scattered showers or thicker cloud decks that could cap temperatures closer to 30–31°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the higher end of the range. Updated CMA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
33°C 43%
32°C 29%
34°C 21%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32°C
29%
33°C
43%
34°C
21%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 43%
32°C 29%
34°C 21%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$205 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$17 Vol.
29%
33°C
$19 Vol.
43%
34°C
$188 Vol.
21%
35°C or higher
$417 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and international model guidance points to daytime maxima near 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 25, with variable cloud cover and moderate southerly winds limiting full solar heating. Trader consensus clustering around the 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline while incorporating uncertainty from Yellow Sea breezes that typically suppress peaks by 1–3°C relative to inland areas. Lingering summer monsoon moisture raises the chance of scattered showers or thicker cloud decks that could cap temperatures closer to 30–31°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the higher end of the range. Updated CMA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$849Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and international model guidance points to daytime maxima near 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 25, with variable cloud cover and moderate southerly winds limiting full solar heating. Trader consensus clustering around the 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline while incorporating uncertainty from Yellow Sea breezes that typically suppress peaks by 1–3°C relative to inland areas. Lingering summer monsoon moisture raises the chance of scattered showers or thicker cloud decks that could cap temperatures closer to 30–31°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the higher end of the range. Updated CMA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$849Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration and international model guidance points to daytime maxima near 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 25, with variable cloud cover and moderate southerly winds limiting full solar heating. Trader consensus clustering around the 32–33°C outcomes reflects this baseline while incorporating uncertainty from Yellow Sea breezes that typically suppress peaks by 1–3°C relative to inland areas. Lingering summer monsoon moisture raises the chance of scattered showers or thicker cloud decks that could cap temperatures closer to 30–31°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the higher end of the range. Updated CMA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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