Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 25 high near 33°C amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, weak winds, and potential scattered showers moderate daytime peaks. Trader consensus favoring 35–37°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, urban heat-island amplification within the city, and the possibility of clearer skies allowing greater solar heating before any monsoon-related moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 30–34°C, with brief excursions above 35°C tied to persistent high-pressure ridges; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu station, sensitive to exact timing of cloud cover or precipitation. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
36°C 32%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
23%
36°C
32%
37°C
20%
38°C
7%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 32%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$83 Vol.
4%
31°C
$20 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
4%
33°C
$24 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
13%
35°C
$16 Vol.
23%
36°C
$102 Vol.
32%
37°C
$32 Vol.
20%
38°C
$183 Vol.
7%
39°C
$95 Vol.
5%
40°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 25 high near 33°C amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, weak winds, and potential scattered showers moderate daytime peaks. Trader consensus favoring 35–37°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, urban heat-island amplification within the city, and the possibility of clearer skies allowing greater solar heating before any monsoon-related moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 30–34°C, with brief excursions above 35°C tied to persistent high-pressure ridges; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu station, sensitive to exact timing of cloud cover or precipitation. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$580Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 25 high near 33°C amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, weak winds, and potential scattered showers moderate daytime peaks. Trader consensus favoring 35–37°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, urban heat-island amplification within the city, and the possibility of clearer skies allowing greater solar heating before any monsoon-related moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 30–34°C, with brief excursions above 35°C tied to persistent high-pressure ridges; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu station, sensitive to exact timing of cloud cover or precipitation. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$580Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Chengdu's August 25 high near 33°C amid typical late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, weak winds, and potential scattered showers moderate daytime peaks. Trader consensus favoring 35–37°C likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs, urban heat-island amplification within the city, and the possibility of clearer skies allowing greater solar heating before any monsoon-related moisture arrives. Historical August maxima average 30–34°C, with brief excursions above 35°C tied to persistent high-pressure ridges; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Chengdu station, sensitive to exact timing of cloud cover or precipitation. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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