Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 25 amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under humid, convective conditions typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. Traders weigh the potential for clearer intervals allowing slightly lower readings around 25–26°C against the insulating effects of cloud cover and urban heat retention that could hold lows near 27°C. The 48-hour forecast horizon introduces notable uncertainty from variable steering patterns and localized convection, keeping outcomes clustered between 25–27°C while downweighting extremes pending updated numerical guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
30°C or higher 57%
20°C or below 54%
26°C 36%
27°C 30%
20°C or below
54%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
36%
27°C
30%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
57%
30°C or higher 57%
20°C or below 54%
26°C 36%
27°C 30%
20°C or below
54%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
36%
27°C
30%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 25 amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with model runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under humid, convective conditions typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. Traders weigh the potential for clearer intervals allowing slightly lower readings around 25–26°C against the insulating effects of cloud cover and urban heat retention that could hold lows near 27°C. The 48-hour forecast horizon introduces notable uncertainty from variable steering patterns and localized convection, keeping outcomes clustered between 25–27°C while downweighting extremes pending updated numerical guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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