Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, supported by a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This places the day well below the 81.8°F climatological normal, with northwesterly winds and potential for partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 74–77°F brackets because short-range models show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and lake-breeze timing, while longer-range outlooks had previously suggested warmer conditions. Final NWS forecast updates and morning sounding data on August 23 will likely resolve the narrow remaining uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 40%
78-79°F 12%
72-73°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
5%
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 40%
78-79°F 12%
72-73°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$80 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$9 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$153 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$167 Vol.
42%
78-79°F
$7 Vol.
12%
80-81°F
$33 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$30 Vol.
5%
84°F or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, supported by a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This places the day well below the 81.8°F climatological normal, with northwesterly winds and potential for partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 74–77°F brackets because short-range models show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and lake-breeze timing, while longer-range outlooks had previously suggested warmer conditions. Final NWS forecast updates and morning sounding data on August 23 will likely resolve the narrow remaining uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$510Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, supported by a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This places the day well below the 81.8°F climatological normal, with northwesterly winds and potential for partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 74–77°F brackets because short-range models show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and lake-breeze timing, while longer-range outlooks had previously suggested warmer conditions. Final NWS forecast updates and morning sounding data on August 23 will likely resolve the narrow remaining uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$510Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a highest temperature in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, supported by a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This places the day well below the 81.8°F climatological normal, with northwesterly winds and potential for partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 74–77°F brackets because short-range models show minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and lake-breeze timing, while longer-range outlooks had previously suggested warmer conditions. Final NWS forecast updates and morning sounding data on August 23 will likely resolve the narrow remaining uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan