Recent KMA heat warnings and persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers behind the tight market clustering around 35–36°C for Busan’s August 25 maximum. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 32°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, yet afternoon heat indices near 35°C and strong insolation in late-summer conditions keep model runs (GFS/ECMWF) showing a narrow window for brief spikes into the mid-30s. Low wind speeds and elevated dew points limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime warming potential, while any increase in cloud cover or onshore breeze could cap readings at 34–35°C. Updated short-range model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the thermal ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 25?
36°C 37%
35°C 35%
37°C 13%
34°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
11%
35°C
35%
36°C
37%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 37%
35°C 35%
37°C 13%
34°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
11%
35°C
35%
36°C
37%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA heat warnings and persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers behind the tight market clustering around 35–36°C for Busan’s August 25 maximum. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 32°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, yet afternoon heat indices near 35°C and strong insolation in late-summer conditions keep model runs (GFS/ECMWF) showing a narrow window for brief spikes into the mid-30s. Low wind speeds and elevated dew points limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime warming potential, while any increase in cloud cover or onshore breeze could cap readings at 34–35°C. Updated short-range model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the thermal ridge strengthens or weakens ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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