Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 23, 2026, points to highs in the low 80s across NYC, with Central Park observations and regional soundings supporting that range amid light southwesterly flow and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, which can suppress maxima by a degree or two, keeping the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins tightly matched in trader pricing. Warmer-than-average August baselines from the Climate Prediction Center provide slight upward tilt, yet historical analogs for late-month setups with similar steering patterns rarely exceed mid-80s without stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify convective timing and refine the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
$143 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$20 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$13 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$141 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$177 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$154 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$93 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$49 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$25 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$25 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 23, 2026, points to highs in the low 80s across NYC, with Central Park observations and regional soundings supporting that range amid light southwesterly flow and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, which can suppress maxima by a degree or two, keeping the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins tightly matched in trader pricing. Warmer-than-average August baselines from the Climate Prediction Center provide slight upward tilt, yet historical analogs for late-month setups with similar steering patterns rarely exceed mid-80s without stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify convective timing and refine the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$897Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 23, 2026, points to highs in the low 80s across NYC, with Central Park observations and regional soundings supporting that range amid light southwesterly flow and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, which can suppress maxima by a degree or two, keeping the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins tightly matched in trader pricing. Warmer-than-average August baselines from the Climate Prediction Center provide slight upward tilt, yet historical analogs for late-month setups with similar steering patterns rarely exceed mid-80s without stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify convective timing and refine the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$897Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 23, 2026, points to highs in the low 80s across NYC, with Central Park observations and regional soundings supporting that range amid light southwesterly flow and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and cloud cover, which can suppress maxima by a degree or two, keeping the 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins tightly matched in trader pricing. Warmer-than-average August baselines from the Climate Prediction Center provide slight upward tilt, yet historical analogs for late-month setups with similar steering patterns rarely exceed mid-80s without stronger ridging. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will clarify convective timing and refine the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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