Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw will reach a daily high near 19–20°C on August 24 under building high pressure, westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies with only a low chance of brief showers. This follows cooler, unsettled conditions on August 22 that suppressed temperatures, allowing modest recovery as winds ease and insolation increases. The narrow spread between 19°C and 20°C reflects minor differences in ensemble guidance on afternoon cloud breaks, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing. Historical late-August climatology for the city centers near 22–24°C, so current cooler marine-influenced air keeps probabilities concentrated in the low 20s Celsius or below. Traders weigh these stable signals against potential late-model adjustments before the 24-hour forecast window closes.