Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models show Munich’s August 23 maximum stabilizing near 21–23°C under building high pressure, light northerly flow, and partly cloudy skies after Friday’s showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the historical late-August mean of roughly 23°C. Trader consensus (43% on 22°C, 39% on 23°C) reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on final observed peak from official Munich station data; any last-model shift in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the result between those two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 23?
22°C 44%
23°C 30%
21°C 13%
24°C 8%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
44%
23°C
30%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 44%
23°C 30%
21°C 13%
24°C 8%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
44%
23°C
30%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models show Munich’s August 23 maximum stabilizing near 21–23°C under building high pressure, light northerly flow, and partly cloudy skies after Friday’s showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiative cooling, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the historical late-August mean of roughly 23°C. Trader consensus (43% on 22°C, 39% on 23°C) reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on final observed peak from official Munich station data; any last-model shift in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the result between those two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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