Recent forecast guidance from European and Russian meteorological models points to an Atlantic low-pressure system and associated cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Moscow, keeping the August 25 maximum near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22 °C. Ensemble runs show limited diurnal warming under overcast skies with possible light precipitation, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 17–18 °C outcomes. Longer-range guidance still carries typical forecast uncertainty from model spread in steering patterns and timing of frontal passage, with official updates from Roshydromet and ECMWF expected to refine the outlook over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
11%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 12%
16°C 11%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
11%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European and Russian meteorological models points to an Atlantic low-pressure system and associated cloud cover moderating daytime heating in Moscow, keeping the August 25 maximum near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22 °C. Ensemble runs show limited diurnal warming under overcast skies with possible light precipitation, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 17–18 °C outcomes. Longer-range guidance still carries typical forecast uncertainty from model spread in steering patterns and timing of frontal passage, with official updates from Roshydromet and ECMWF expected to refine the outlook over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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