Official short-range forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a mix of sunny intervals and morning showers under strengthening northwesterly winds. These föhn-type flows can produce localized warming on the lee side of the North Island ranges, yet model consensus keeps daytime peaks near the seasonal average of 12–14°C rather than pushing into the upper teens. Recent guidance shows stable high pressure building afterward, limiting further warming or cold outbreaks, while traders price the 15–16°C outcomes highest because ensemble runs cluster tightly around those values with low spread in the 48-hour window. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Wellington aero station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
15°C 48%
16°C 40%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
$11,115 Vol.
$11,115 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
48%
16°C
40%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 48%
16°C 40%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
$11,115 Vol.
$11,115 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
48%
16°C
40%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official short-range forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office project a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 23, driven by a mix of sunny intervals and morning showers under strengthening northwesterly winds. These föhn-type flows can produce localized warming on the lee side of the North Island ranges, yet model consensus keeps daytime peaks near the seasonal average of 12–14°C rather than pushing into the upper teens. Recent guidance shows stable high pressure building afterward, limiting further warming or cold outbreaks, while traders price the 15–16°C outcomes highest because ensemble runs cluster tightly around those values with low spread in the 48-hour window. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Wellington aero station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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