Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and local NZ guidance, indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after strong northwesterly flow on August 23 will produce minimum temperatures clustered around 8–11 °C at Wellington stations. Persistent NW winds advect milder maritime air while limiting extreme radiational cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 8 °C and the narrow historical range rarely dipping below 5 °C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with clearing conditions after morning showers supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 10–12 °C outcomes; later forecast updates from monitoring agencies could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
11°C 67%
10°C 22%
12°C 18%
9°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
7%
8°C
8%
9°C
9%
10°C
22%
11°C
67%
12°C
18%
13°C
6%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 67%
10°C 22%
12°C 18%
9°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
$32 Vol.
1%
6°C
$55 Vol.
3%
7°C
$20 Vol.
7%
8°C
$0 Vol.
8%
9°C
$0 Vol.
9%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$39 Vol.
67%
12°C
$55 Vol.
18%
13°C
$27 Vol.
6%
14°C
$5 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and local NZ guidance, indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after strong northwesterly flow on August 23 will produce minimum temperatures clustered around 8–11 °C at Wellington stations. Persistent NW winds advect milder maritime air while limiting extreme radiational cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 8 °C and the narrow historical range rarely dipping below 5 °C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with clearing conditions after morning showers supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 10–12 °C outcomes; later forecast updates from monitoring agencies could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$259Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and local NZ guidance, indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after strong northwesterly flow on August 23 will produce minimum temperatures clustered around 8–11 °C at Wellington stations. Persistent NW winds advect milder maritime air while limiting extreme radiational cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 8 °C and the narrow historical range rarely dipping below 5 °C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with clearing conditions after morning showers supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 10–12 °C outcomes; later forecast updates from monitoring agencies could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$259Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the Met Office and local NZ guidance, indicate overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies after strong northwesterly flow on August 23 will produce minimum temperatures clustered around 8–11 °C at Wellington stations. Persistent NW winds advect milder maritime air while limiting extreme radiational cooling, consistent with climatological August lows near 8 °C and the narrow historical range rarely dipping below 5 °C. Recent model consensus shows limited spread, with clearing conditions after morning showers supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 10–12 °C outcomes; later forecast updates from monitoring agencies could shift probabilities if wind speeds or cloud cover deviate from current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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