Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely range 30–33°C, with trader-implied odds clustering around 31–32°C reflecting this consensus. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity favor daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 30–31°C, while scattered thunderstorms expected late in the period could enhance cloud cover and reduce solar heating, capping temperatures closer to 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, but small shifts in timing or intensity of convection introduce uncertainty around the 32–33°C thresholds. Official observations from prior days near 32°C provide recent context, with no major pattern changes anticipated before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 24%
30°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
31%
33°C
24%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
33°C 24%
31°C 24%
30°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$207 Vol.
1%
27°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$118 Vol.
2%
29°C
$23 Vol.
6%
30°C
$161 Vol.
7%
31°C
$57 Vol.
24%
32°C
$61 Vol.
31%
33°C
$82 Vol.
24%
34°C
$129 Vol.
7%
35°C
$10 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely range 30–33°C, with trader-implied odds clustering around 31–32°C reflecting this consensus. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity favor daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 30–31°C, while scattered thunderstorms expected late in the period could enhance cloud cover and reduce solar heating, capping temperatures closer to 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, but small shifts in timing or intensity of convection introduce uncertainty around the 32–33°C thresholds. Official observations from prior days near 32°C provide recent context, with no major pattern changes anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$940Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely range 30–33°C, with trader-implied odds clustering around 31–32°C reflecting this consensus. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity favor daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 30–31°C, while scattered thunderstorms expected late in the period could enhance cloud cover and reduce solar heating, capping temperatures closer to 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, but small shifts in timing or intensity of convection introduce uncertainty around the 32–33°C thresholds. Official observations from prior days near 32°C provide recent context, with no major pattern changes anticipated before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$940Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely range 30–33°C, with trader-implied odds clustering around 31–32°C reflecting this consensus. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity favor daytime peaks near or slightly above seasonal norms of 30–31°C, while scattered thunderstorms expected late in the period could enhance cloud cover and reduce solar heating, capping temperatures closer to 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, but small shifts in timing or intensity of convection introduce uncertainty around the 32–33°C thresholds. Official observations from prior days near 32°C provide recent context, with no major pattern changes anticipated before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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