Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a daytime high of 24–25°C for London on August 25, with sunny intervals and light easterly winds moderating peak heating under a transitional high-pressure regime following mid-August heatwaves. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and global runs clusters probabilities around 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally versus rural stations. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while the tight spread in market-implied odds (23°C at 31.5% leading) captures genuine short-range forecast divergence ahead of final 48-hour updates. Traders should monitor the next Met Office briefing and morning model runs for shifts in maximum temperature guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 25?
Highest temperature in London on August 25?
23°C 31%
22°C 26%
24°C 21%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
26%
23°C
31%
24°C
21%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 31%
22°C 26%
24°C 21%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$133 Vol.
1%
19°C
$450 Vol.
2%
20°C
$591 Vol.
4%
21°C
$567 Vol.
9%
22°C
$604 Vol.
26%
23°C
$2,532 Vol.
31%
24°C
$3,550 Vol.
21%
25°C
$469 Vol.
7%
26°C
$185 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$123 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a daytime high of 24–25°C for London on August 25, with sunny intervals and light easterly winds moderating peak heating under a transitional high-pressure regime following mid-August heatwaves. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and global runs clusters probabilities around 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally versus rural stations. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while the tight spread in market-implied odds (23°C at 31.5% leading) captures genuine short-range forecast divergence ahead of final 48-hour updates. Traders should monitor the next Met Office briefing and morning model runs for shifts in maximum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a daytime high of 24–25°C for London on August 25, with sunny intervals and light easterly winds moderating peak heating under a transitional high-pressure regime following mid-August heatwaves. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and global runs clusters probabilities around 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally versus rural stations. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while the tight spread in market-implied odds (23°C at 31.5% leading) captures genuine short-range forecast divergence ahead of final 48-hour updates. Traders should monitor the next Met Office briefing and morning model runs for shifts in maximum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a daytime high of 24–25°C for London on August 25, with sunny intervals and light easterly winds moderating peak heating under a transitional high-pressure regime following mid-August heatwaves. Ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and global runs clusters probabilities around 22–24°C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°C locally versus rural stations. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while the tight spread in market-implied odds (23°C at 31.5% leading) captures genuine short-range forecast divergence ahead of final 48-hour updates. Traders should monitor the next Met Office briefing and morning model runs for shifts in maximum temperature guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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