Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 25?
Lowest temperature in London on August 25?
17°C 39%
16°C 32%
15°C 12%
18°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
4%
14°C
6%
15°C
12%
16°C
32%
17°C
39%
18°C
12%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 39%
16°C 32%
15°C 12%
18°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$5 Vol.
5%
13°C
$4 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$11 Vol.
12%
16°C
$177 Vol.
32%
17°C
$80 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$42 Vol.
10%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$335Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$335Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate overnight lows of 16–18°C on August 25, driven by mild easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime transitioning to unsettled conditions. This positions 17°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 16°C and 18°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points around 13–14°C. Historical August minima near 12–14°C are unlikely given the current warm anomaly and lack of northerly advection. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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