Current forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department, Met Office, and global models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on August 26 most likely in the 31–33°C range, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (45.5%) and adjacent probabilities. Persistent southwest monsoon flows, elevated humidity, and recent cloud cover with isolated drizzle have moderated daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in August. Ensemble guidance shows limited upward potential absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or reduced moisture, while historical August maxima average near 33°C with frequent variability from coastal effects. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be key for any probability shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
32°C 46%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
30°C 10.1%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
46%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 46%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
30°C 10.1%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
46%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department, Met Office, and global models indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on August 26 most likely in the 31–33°C range, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (45.5%) and adjacent probabilities. Persistent southwest monsoon flows, elevated humidity, and recent cloud cover with isolated drizzle have moderated daytime heating compared to clearer periods earlier in August. Ensemble guidance shows limited upward potential absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or reduced moisture, while historical August maxima average near 33°C with frequent variability from coastal effects. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be key for any probability shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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