Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a Warsaw high near 23°C on August 26, driven by moderate westerly advection of cooler maritime air under variable high pressure. This setup produces partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, keeping maxima close to the late-August climatological average of 22–23°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud thickness and wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C, as even small changes in these variables can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
23°C 38%
22°C 33%
24°C 26%
21°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
33%
23°C
38%
24°C
26%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 38%
22°C 33%
24°C 26%
21°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$44 Vol.
5%
21°C
$82 Vol.
8%
22°C
$58 Vol.
33%
23°C
$54 Vol.
38%
24°C
$33 Vol.
26%
25°C
$28 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
5%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a Warsaw high near 23°C on August 26, driven by moderate westerly advection of cooler maritime air under variable high pressure. This setup produces partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, keeping maxima close to the late-August climatological average of 22–23°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud thickness and wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C, as even small changes in these variables can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$316Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a Warsaw high near 23°C on August 26, driven by moderate westerly advection of cooler maritime air under variable high pressure. This setup produces partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, keeping maxima close to the late-August climatological average of 22–23°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud thickness and wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C, as even small changes in these variables can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$316Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a Warsaw high near 23°C on August 26, driven by moderate westerly advection of cooler maritime air under variable high pressure. This setup produces partly cloudy skies with limited solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, keeping maxima close to the late-August climatological average of 22–23°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud thickness and wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C, as even small changes in these variables can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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