Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 94%
10°C 27%
11°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
95%
7°C
25%
8°C
20%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
11%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
94%
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 94%
10°C 27%
11°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
95%
7°C
$5 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
20%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$5 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for Warsaw on August 25, consistent with late-summer norms of gradual cooling as daylight shortens. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects model divergence on overnight radiative cooling versus warmer advection, driven by a transient high-pressure ridge that could allow clear skies and calm winds for enhanced surface heat loss or, conversely, increased cloud cover and southerly flow that limits the drop. Key variables include evolving 500 hPa heights, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Updated ensemble runs from global models over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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