Heavy monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the main drivers keeping Manila's expected maximum temperature on August 26 clustered around 30–32 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks point to 29–31 °C with 60–90 % rain chances, while longer-range guidance shows modest model spread on shower timing and intensity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but persistent convective activity typically caps peaks below clear-sky potential. The tight market distribution across 30–32 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 26?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 26?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$41 Vol.
3%
29°C
$20 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
29%
32°C
$50 Vol.
34%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the main drivers keeping Manila's expected maximum temperature on August 26 clustered around 30–32 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks point to 29–31 °C with 60–90 % rain chances, while longer-range guidance shows modest model spread on shower timing and intensity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but persistent convective activity typically caps peaks below clear-sky potential. The tight market distribution across 30–32 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$71Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the main drivers keeping Manila's expected maximum temperature on August 26 clustered around 30–32 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks point to 29–31 °C with 60–90 % rain chances, while longer-range guidance shows modest model spread on shower timing and intensity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but persistent convective activity typically caps peaks below clear-sky potential. The tight market distribution across 30–32 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy monsoon rains and widespread cloud cover from the southwest monsoon (habagat) are the main drivers keeping Manila's expected maximum temperature on August 26 clustered around 30–32 °C. Official PAGASA outlooks point to 29–31 °C with 60–90 % rain chances, while longer-range guidance shows modest model spread on shower timing and intensity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation. Historical August averages near 31 °C provide context, but persistent convective activity typically caps peaks below clear-sky potential. The tight market distribution across 30–32 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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