Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Cape Town on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, positioning this threshold as a key driver of the market's concentration around 24–26°C. Numerical model consensus from ensembles shows modest spread due to boundary-layer stability and limited maritime air advection beneath a high-pressure ridge, with historical August maxima clustering near 17–19°C but allowing occasional warmer excursions when northerly flow strengthens. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observations, with any downward revision in the official forecast or unexpected frontal passage likely to shift weight toward 24°C or lower while an upward adjustment would favor 26–27°C. Updated model runs and SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 26?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 26?
25°C 36%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
23%
25°C
36%
26°C
22%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$45 Vol.
2%
21°C
$81 Vol.
3%
22°C
$142 Vol.
3%
23°C
$83 Vol.
10%
24°C
$35 Vol.
23%
25°C
$14 Vol.
36%
26°C
$106 Vol.
22%
27°C
$48 Vol.
8%
28°C
$88 Vol.
3%
29°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Cape Town on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, positioning this threshold as a key driver of the market's concentration around 24–26°C. Numerical model consensus from ensembles shows modest spread due to boundary-layer stability and limited maritime air advection beneath a high-pressure ridge, with historical August maxima clustering near 17–19°C but allowing occasional warmer excursions when northerly flow strengthens. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observations, with any downward revision in the official forecast or unexpected frontal passage likely to shift weight toward 24°C or lower while an upward adjustment would favor 26–27°C. Updated model runs and SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$873Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Cape Town on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, positioning this threshold as a key driver of the market's concentration around 24–26°C. Numerical model consensus from ensembles shows modest spread due to boundary-layer stability and limited maritime air advection beneath a high-pressure ridge, with historical August maxima clustering near 17–19°C but allowing occasional warmer excursions when northerly flow strengthens. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observations, with any downward revision in the official forecast or unexpected frontal passage likely to shift weight toward 24°C or lower while an upward adjustment would favor 26–27°C. Updated model runs and SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$873Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent South African Weather Service forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Cape Town on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, positioning this threshold as a key driver of the market's concentration around 24–26°C. Numerical model consensus from ensembles shows modest spread due to boundary-layer stability and limited maritime air advection beneath a high-pressure ridge, with historical August maxima clustering near 17–19°C but allowing occasional warmer excursions when northerly flow strengthens. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observations, with any downward revision in the official forecast or unexpected frontal passage likely to shift weight toward 24°C or lower while an upward adjustment would favor 26–27°C. Updated model runs and SAWS briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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