Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 80–81°F at Central Park on August 24, driven by moderating onshore flow, reduced humidity, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies following recent above-average warmth. Ensemble consensus shows low risk of exceeding 83°F or falling below 78°F, consistent with late-August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders have priced this outcome at 55% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the short-range forecast while acknowledging typical model spread and potential sea-breeze timing shifts that could adjust the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?
80-81°F 55%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 3%
BARU
$11,501 Vol.
BARU
$11,501 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
55%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 55%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 3%
BARU
$11,501 Vol.
BARU
$11,501 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
67°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$334 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$695 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$2,058 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$1,419 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$4,104 Vol.
55%
82-83°F
$1,513 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$589 Vol.
3%
86°F or higher
$555 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 80–81°F at Central Park on August 24, driven by moderating onshore flow, reduced humidity, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies following recent above-average warmth. Ensemble consensus shows low risk of exceeding 83°F or falling below 78°F, consistent with late-August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders have priced this outcome at 55% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the short-range forecast while acknowledging typical model spread and potential sea-breeze timing shifts that could adjust the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,501Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 80–81°F at Central Park on August 24, driven by moderating onshore flow, reduced humidity, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies following recent above-average warmth. Ensemble consensus shows low risk of exceeding 83°F or falling below 78°F, consistent with late-August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders have priced this outcome at 55% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the short-range forecast while acknowledging typical model spread and potential sea-breeze timing shifts that could adjust the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,501Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 80–81°F at Central Park on August 24, driven by moderating onshore flow, reduced humidity, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies following recent above-average warmth. Ensemble consensus shows low risk of exceeding 83°F or falling below 78°F, consistent with late-August climatology and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders have priced this outcome at 55% implied probability, reflecting confidence in the short-range forecast while acknowledging typical model spread and potential sea-breeze timing shifts that could adjust the peak by 1–2°F before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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