Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light westerly winds overnight August 23–24, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a daytime high near 79°F. This setup, following several days with observed lows in the low-to-mid 60s, supports a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 64–69°F. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact dew-point recovery, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects, while historical August 24 averages near 67°F provide climatological context for the modest downside skew currently priced by traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 26%
58-59°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
3%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
36%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 26%
58-59°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
$5 Vol.
3%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
11%
60-61°F
$20 Vol.
9%
62-63°F
$7 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$1 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$26 Vol.
36%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$9 Vol.
4%
74°F or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light westerly winds overnight August 23–24, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a daytime high near 79°F. This setup, following several days with observed lows in the low-to-mid 60s, supports a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 64–69°F. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact dew-point recovery, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects, while historical August 24 averages near 67°F provide climatological context for the modest downside skew currently priced by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$99Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light westerly winds overnight August 23–24, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a daytime high near 79°F. This setup, following several days with observed lows in the low-to-mid 60s, supports a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 64–69°F. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact dew-point recovery, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects, while historical August 24 averages near 67°F provide climatological context for the modest downside skew currently priced by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mostly clear skies and light westerly winds overnight August 23–24, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a daytime high near 79°F. This setup, following several days with observed lows in the low-to-mid 60s, supports a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s at Central Park, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 64–69°F. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on exact dew-point recovery, cloud-cover timing, and urban heat-island effects, while historical August 24 averages near 67°F provide climatological context for the modest downside skew currently priced by traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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