Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure ridge over South Central Texas keep Austin's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to 72–78°F for August 24 amid mostly clear skies and warm southerly flow. This supports the near-even market split between the 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or dew points that could limit overnight drops. Historical August climatology favors mid-70s lows, but the current pattern's suppressed mixing and high heat content raise the chance of minimal cooling; traders watch the next NWS update and model runs for shifts in steering winds or moisture that would favor one extreme over the other.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
92°F or higher 95%
73°F or below 47%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
47%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F or higher
95%
92°F or higher 95%
73°F or below 47%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
47%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$4 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
36%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
36%
92°F or higher
$5 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure ridge over South Central Texas keep Austin's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to 72–78°F for August 24 amid mostly clear skies and warm southerly flow. This supports the near-even market split between the 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or dew points that could limit overnight drops. Historical August climatology favors mid-70s lows, but the current pattern's suppressed mixing and high heat content raise the chance of minimal cooling; traders watch the next NWS update and model runs for shifts in steering winds or moisture that would favor one extreme over the other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$29Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure ridge over South Central Texas keep Austin's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to 72–78°F for August 24 amid mostly clear skies and warm southerly flow. This supports the near-even market split between the 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or dew points that could limit overnight drops. Historical August climatology favors mid-70s lows, but the current pattern's suppressed mixing and high heat content raise the chance of minimal cooling; traders watch the next NWS update and model runs for shifts in steering winds or moisture that would favor one extreme over the other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure ridge over South Central Texas keep Austin's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance pointing to 72–78°F for August 24 amid mostly clear skies and warm southerly flow. This supports the near-even market split between the 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher bins, reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or dew points that could limit overnight drops. Historical August climatology favors mid-70s lows, but the current pattern's suppressed mixing and high heat content raise the chance of minimal cooling; traders watch the next NWS update and model runs for shifts in steering winds or moisture that would favor one extreme over the other.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan