Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge are sustaining elevated overnight minimums across central Texas, with official guidance from NOAA and local forecast models pointing to lows near 79–81°F for Austin on August 23 amid a multi-day heatwave. Clear to partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling while high dew points reduce the diurnal range, keeping the lowest temperature well above the 72.6°F climatological average. Trader sentiment clusters around the 71°F-or-below outcome because any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could shave several degrees, yet the same models show only modest variability across ensemble members, leaving the 76–77°F and warmer bins competitive until the final overnight observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
71°F or below 76%
90°F or higher 54%
84-85°F 43%
76-77°F 34%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
76%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
54%
71°F or below 76%
90°F or higher 54%
84-85°F 43%
76-77°F 34%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$20 Vol.
76%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
21%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
30%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
23%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
43%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$25 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge are sustaining elevated overnight minimums across central Texas, with official guidance from NOAA and local forecast models pointing to lows near 79–81°F for Austin on August 23 amid a multi-day heatwave. Clear to partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling while high dew points reduce the diurnal range, keeping the lowest temperature well above the 72.6°F climatological average. Trader sentiment clusters around the 71°F-or-below outcome because any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could shave several degrees, yet the same models show only modest variability across ensemble members, leaving the 76–77°F and warmer bins competitive until the final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$75Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge are sustaining elevated overnight minimums across central Texas, with official guidance from NOAA and local forecast models pointing to lows near 79–81°F for Austin on August 23 amid a multi-day heatwave. Clear to partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling while high dew points reduce the diurnal range, keeping the lowest temperature well above the 72.6°F climatological average. Trader sentiment clusters around the 71°F-or-below outcome because any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could shave several degrees, yet the same models show only modest variability across ensemble members, leaving the 76–77°F and warmer bins competitive until the final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge are sustaining elevated overnight minimums across central Texas, with official guidance from NOAA and local forecast models pointing to lows near 79–81°F for Austin on August 23 amid a multi-day heatwave. Clear to partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling while high dew points reduce the diurnal range, keeping the lowest temperature well above the 72.6°F climatological average. Trader sentiment clusters around the 71°F-or-below outcome because any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind could shave several degrees, yet the same models show only modest variability across ensemble members, leaving the 76–77°F and warmer bins competitive until the final overnight observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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