Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid Panama's peak rainy season drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ minima for August 24, with specific values clustered around 24–28°C reflecting model spread. In this tropical maritime climate, minimum temperatures hinge on cloud cover suppressing longwave heat loss, convective rainfall's evaporative cooling, and boundary-layer humidity—factors that shift rapidly with weak steering patterns and scattered thunderstorms typical of August climatology. Official guidance from regional models shows limited consensus on exact nocturnal clearing, keeping implied probabilities balanced near historical baselines of 23–25°C lows while highlighting sensitivity to any unexpected tropical wave or drier intrusion.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
30°C or higher 91%
20°C or below 90%
21°C 32%
29°C 32%
20°C or below
90%
21°C
32%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
17%
29°C
32%
30°C or higher
91%
30°C or higher 91%
20°C or below 90%
21°C 32%
29°C 32%
20°C or below
90%
21°C
32%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
17%
29°C
32%
30°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid Panama's peak rainy season drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ minima for August 24, with specific values clustered around 24–28°C reflecting model spread. In this tropical maritime climate, minimum temperatures hinge on cloud cover suppressing longwave heat loss, convective rainfall's evaporative cooling, and boundary-layer humidity—factors that shift rapidly with weak steering patterns and scattered thunderstorms typical of August climatology. Official guidance from regional models shows limited consensus on exact nocturnal clearing, keeping implied probabilities balanced near historical baselines of 23–25°C lows while highlighting sensitivity to any unexpected tropical wave or drier intrusion.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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