Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
9°C or below 95%
10°C 47%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
95%
10°C
47%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 95%
10°C 47%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
95%
10°C
$5 Vol.
47%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$5 Vol.
8%
18°C
$5 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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