Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 26 in the mid-to-upper 50s, driven by a moderate marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 58–59 °F and 56–57 °F because small differences in fog-bank timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F. Sea-surface temperatures near 58 °F anchor the lower end of the distribution, while any thinning of the stratus deck would allow slightly greater cooling toward 56 °F. With resolution based on official observations at the downtown station, upcoming evening model updates and marine-layer soundings will refine these narrow bins before tomorrow’s minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 26?
58-59°F 51%
66°F or higher 49%
64-65°F 48%
47°F or below 39%
47°F or below
39%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
48%
66°F or higher
49%
58-59°F 51%
66°F or higher 49%
64-65°F 48%
47°F or below 39%
47°F or below
39%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
48%
66°F or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs place San Francisco’s overnight low for August 26 in the mid-to-upper 50s, driven by a moderate marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 58–59 °F and 56–57 °F because small differences in fog-bank timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °F. Sea-surface temperatures near 58 °F anchor the lower end of the distribution, while any thinning of the stratus deck would allow slightly greater cooling toward 56 °F. With resolution based on official observations at the downtown station, upcoming evening model updates and marine-layer soundings will refine these narrow bins before tomorrow’s minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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