Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models shows Austin overnight lows stabilizing near 78°F under clear skies and light winds, yet the market clusters probability on 74–77°F ranges because subtle variables like increased boundary-layer moisture, localized urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in radiative cooling rates can shave 2–4°F from official guidance. Average August minima hover around 75°F, providing climatological support for the 72–77°F bucket, while persistent high pressure and heat-advisory conditions limit upside risk above 80°F. Traders are weighting the next NWS update and any late-day convection that could enhance overnight cooling before the minimum is recorded on August 26.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Austin on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 26?
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 35%
71°F or below 29%
72-73°F 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
29%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
9%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 35%
71°F or below 29%
72-73°F 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
35%
76-77°F
$104 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$150 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$96 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models shows Austin overnight lows stabilizing near 78°F under clear skies and light winds, yet the market clusters probability on 74–77°F ranges because subtle variables like increased boundary-layer moisture, localized urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in radiative cooling rates can shave 2–4°F from official guidance. Average August minima hover around 75°F, providing climatological support for the 72–77°F bucket, while persistent high pressure and heat-advisory conditions limit upside risk above 80°F. Traders are weighting the next NWS update and any late-day convection that could enhance overnight cooling before the minimum is recorded on August 26.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models shows Austin overnight lows stabilizing near 78°F under clear skies and light winds, yet the market clusters probability on 74–77°F ranges because subtle variables like increased boundary-layer moisture, localized urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in radiative cooling rates can shave 2–4°F from official guidance. Average August minima hover around 75°F, providing climatological support for the 72–77°F bucket, while persistent high pressure and heat-advisory conditions limit upside risk above 80°F. Traders are weighting the next NWS update and any late-day convection that could enhance overnight cooling before the minimum is recorded on August 26.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$365Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models shows Austin overnight lows stabilizing near 78°F under clear skies and light winds, yet the market clusters probability on 74–77°F ranges because subtle variables like increased boundary-layer moisture, localized urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in radiative cooling rates can shave 2–4°F from official guidance. Average August minima hover around 75°F, providing climatological support for the 72–77°F bucket, while persistent high pressure and heat-advisory conditions limit upside risk above 80°F. Traders are weighting the next NWS update and any late-day convection that could enhance overnight cooling before the minimum is recorded on August 26.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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