**Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a highest temperature in Miami on August 25 near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 90–93°F (51.5%) and 90–91°F (41.5%).** Late-August subtropical conditions feature typical highs of 89–91°F, driven by warm Gulf and Atlantic waters, high humidity, and sea-breeze moderation, with afternoon thunderstorms often limiting peak readings. A mid-August heat dome produced record 100°F readings earlier in the month, but current model runs and outlooks show the pattern relaxing, with highs returning closer to seasonal normals. Absence of tropical systems per the National Hurricane Center further supports stable steering and modest intensification potential. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecasts and climatological baselines heavily, resulting in tight clustering around the 90–93°F bin while assigning only minimal probability to extremes above 94°F or below 88°F. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute model shifts on August 24–25 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 25?
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 42%
94-95°F 5%
88-89°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 42%
94-95°F 5%
88-89°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$442 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$219 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$212 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$549 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$685 Vol.
42%
92-93°F
$1,262 Vol.
52%
94-95°F
$295 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$182 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$117 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a highest temperature in Miami on August 25 near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 90–93°F (51.5%) and 90–91°F (41.5%).**
Late-August subtropical conditions feature typical highs of 89–91°F, driven by warm Gulf and Atlantic waters, high humidity, and sea-breeze moderation, with afternoon thunderstorms often limiting peak readings. A mid-August heat dome produced record 100°F readings earlier in the month, but current model runs and outlooks show the pattern relaxing, with highs returning closer to seasonal normals.
Absence of tropical systems per the National Hurricane Center further supports stable steering and modest intensification potential. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecasts and climatological baselines heavily, resulting in tight clustering around the 90–93°F bin while assigning only minimal probability to extremes above 94°F or below 88°F. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute model shifts on August 24–25 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,357Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a highest temperature in Miami on August 25 near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 90–93°F (51.5%) and 90–91°F (41.5%).**
Late-August subtropical conditions feature typical highs of 89–91°F, driven by warm Gulf and Atlantic waters, high humidity, and sea-breeze moderation, with afternoon thunderstorms often limiting peak readings. A mid-August heat dome produced record 100°F readings earlier in the month, but current model runs and outlooks show the pattern relaxing, with highs returning closer to seasonal normals.
Absence of tropical systems per the National Hurricane Center further supports stable steering and modest intensification potential. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecasts and climatological baselines heavily, resulting in tight clustering around the 90–93°F bin while assigning only minimal probability to extremes above 94°F or below 88°F. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute model shifts on August 24–25 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,357Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a highest temperature in Miami on August 25 near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 90–93°F (51.5%) and 90–91°F (41.5%).** Late-August subtropical conditions feature typical highs of 89–91°F, driven by warm Gulf and Atlantic waters, high humidity, and sea-breeze moderation, with afternoon thunderstorms often limiting peak readings. A mid-August heat dome produced record 100°F readings earlier in the month, but current model runs and outlooks show the pattern relaxing, with highs returning closer to seasonal normals. Absence of tropical systems per the National Hurricane Center further supports stable steering and modest intensification potential. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecasts and climatological baselines heavily, resulting in tight clustering around the 90–93°F bin while assigning only minimal probability to extremes above 94°F or below 88°F. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute model shifts on August 24–25 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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