Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum will likely fall between 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the city's climatological August high near 28–29°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 32–34°C because of lingering model spread in cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and potential for brief warming episodes before any coastal marine layer strengthens. Low probabilities assigned to 35°C or higher reflect the limited historical precedent for such extremes this late in the season, while sub-31°C outcomes remain discounted absent stronger onshore winds or increased precipitation chances. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
35%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
6%
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$30 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$5 Vol.
35%
34°C
$50 Vol.
22%
35°C or higher
$24 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum will likely fall between 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the city's climatological August high near 28–29°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 32–34°C because of lingering model spread in cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and potential for brief warming episodes before any coastal marine layer strengthens. Low probabilities assigned to 35°C or higher reflect the limited historical precedent for such extremes this late in the season, while sub-31°C outcomes remain discounted absent stronger onshore winds or increased precipitation chances. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$109Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum will likely fall between 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the city's climatological August high near 28–29°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 32–34°C because of lingering model spread in cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and potential for brief warming episodes before any coastal marine layer strengthens. Low probabilities assigned to 35°C or higher reflect the limited historical precedent for such extremes this late in the season, while sub-31°C outcomes remain discounted absent stronger onshore winds or increased precipitation chances. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum will likely fall between 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the city's climatological August high near 28–29°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 32–34°C because of lingering model spread in cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and potential for brief warming episodes before any coastal marine layer strengthens. Low probabilities assigned to 35°C or higher reflect the limited historical precedent for such extremes this late in the season, while sub-31°C outcomes remain discounted absent stronger onshore winds or increased precipitation chances. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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