**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Qingdao’s August 27 maximum near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers or thunderstorms.** Light southerly or variable winds and high humidity—typical for this coastal Yellow Sea location in late summer—limit daytime heating, while any afternoon convection could briefly suppress peaks. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, and current stable pressure patterns show no strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30°C (33%) and 31°C (31%) reflects model agreement tempered by uncertainty over exact cloud cover and shower timing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
14%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
14%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Qingdao’s August 27 maximum near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers or thunderstorms.** Light southerly or variable winds and high humidity—typical for this coastal Yellow Sea location in late summer—limit daytime heating, while any afternoon convection could briefly suppress peaks. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, and current stable pressure patterns show no strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30°C (33%) and 31°C (31%) reflects model agreement tempered by uncertainty over exact cloud cover and shower timing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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