**Latest National Weather Service guidance positions an official high near 98°F as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Recent days have featured highs of 98–101°F, well above the late-August climatological average of about 93°F, sustaining trader focus on the upper 90s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter peak readings, while heat-index values near 105–106°F underscore the persistent warm airmass. The 96–99°F range therefore dominates implied probabilities, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and historical precedent for occasional 100°F+ spikes in similar setups. No major forecast updates are scheduled before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 42%
100-101°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 51%
96-97°F 42%
100-101°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$10 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$138 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$87 Vol.
42%
98-99°F
$353 Vol.
51%
100-101°F
$55 Vol.
9%
102-103°F
$56 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$20 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$112 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance positions an official high near 98°F as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Recent days have featured highs of 98–101°F, well above the late-August climatological average of about 93°F, sustaining trader focus on the upper 90s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter peak readings, while heat-index values near 105–106°F underscore the persistent warm airmass. The 96–99°F range therefore dominates implied probabilities, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and historical precedent for occasional 100°F+ spikes in similar setups. No major forecast updates are scheduled before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$976Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance positions an official high near 98°F as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Recent days have featured highs of 98–101°F, well above the late-August climatological average of about 93°F, sustaining trader focus on the upper 90s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter peak readings, while heat-index values near 105–106°F underscore the persistent warm airmass. The 96–99°F range therefore dominates implied probabilities, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and historical precedent for occasional 100°F+ spikes in similar setups. No major forecast updates are scheduled before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$976Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service guidance positions an official high near 98°F as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 25 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds.** Recent days have featured highs of 98–101°F, well above the late-August climatological average of about 93°F, sustaining trader focus on the upper 90s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter peak readings, while heat-index values near 105–106°F underscore the persistent warm airmass. The 96–99°F range therefore dominates implied probabilities, reflecting both the current forecast trajectory and historical precedent for occasional 100°F+ spikes in similar setups. No major forecast updates are scheduled before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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