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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?

icon for Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?

82-83°F 45%

84-85°F 28%

80-81°F 16%

86-87°F 8%

Polymarket
BARU

82-83°F 45%

84-85°F 28%

80-81°F 16%

86-87°F 8%

Polymarket
BARU

77°F or below

$359 Vol.

<1%

78-79°F

$226 Vol.

5%

80-81°F

$75 Vol.

16%

82-83°F

$174 Vol.

45%

84-85°F

$397 Vol.

28%

86-87°F

$52 Vol.

8%

88-89°F

$32 Vol.

3%

90-91°F

$52 Vol.

2%

92-93°F

$33 Vol.

1%

94-95°F

$69 Vol.

1%

96°F or higher

$376 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the August 25 Los Angeles high temperature centers on the 82–85°F range (combined ~74.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for moderate coastal readings amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** A persistent high-pressure system and onshore southwesterly flow are maintaining a strong marine layer and sea breeze along the coast, which caps afternoon highs near the ocean while allowing much hotter conditions inland (valleys often 100°F+). Official guidance for key Los Angeles stations, such as LAX, points to highs near 84–88°F under mostly sunny skies with light afternoon winds, consistent with climatological August baselines around 84°F but tempered by the current setup. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, reinforcing the 82–85°F bin as the most probable outcome, while lower probabilities for 86°F+ account for possible minor warming if the marine influence weakens slightly before resolution. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$893
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the August 25 Los Angeles high temperature centers on the 82–85°F range (combined ~74.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for moderate coastal readings amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** A persistent high-pressure system and onshore southwesterly flow are maintaining a strong marine layer and sea breeze along the coast, which caps afternoon highs near the ocean while allowing much hotter conditions inland (valleys often 100°F+). Official guidance for key Los Angeles stations, such as LAX, points to highs near 84–88°F under mostly sunny skies with light afternoon winds, consistent with climatological August baselines around 84°F but tempered by the current setup. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, reinforcing the 82–85°F bin as the most probable outcome, while lower probabilities for 86°F+ account for possible minor warming if the marine influence weakens slightly before resolution. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$893
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "82-83°F" di 45%, diikuti oleh "84-85°F" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 23, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?" adalah "82-83°F" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "84-85°F" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.