**Trader sentiment for the August 25 Los Angeles high temperature centers on the 82–85°F range (combined ~74.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for moderate coastal readings amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** A persistent high-pressure system and onshore southwesterly flow are maintaining a strong marine layer and sea breeze along the coast, which caps afternoon highs near the ocean while allowing much hotter conditions inland (valleys often 100°F+). Official guidance for key Los Angeles stations, such as LAX, points to highs near 84–88°F under mostly sunny skies with light afternoon winds, consistent with climatological August baselines around 84°F but tempered by the current setup. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, reinforcing the 82–85°F bin as the most probable outcome, while lower probabilities for 86°F+ account for possible minor warming if the marine influence weakens slightly before resolution. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 45%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the August 25 Los Angeles high temperature centers on the 82–85°F range (combined ~74.5% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for moderate coastal readings amid an ongoing regional heat wave.** A persistent high-pressure system and onshore southwesterly flow are maintaining a strong marine layer and sea breeze along the coast, which caps afternoon highs near the ocean while allowing much hotter conditions inland (valleys often 100°F+). Official guidance for key Los Angeles stations, such as LAX, points to highs near 84–88°F under mostly sunny skies with light afternoon winds, consistent with climatological August baselines around 84°F but tempered by the current setup. Recent model runs have shown little day-to-day shift, reinforcing the 82–85°F bin as the most probable outcome, while lower probabilities for 86°F+ account for possible minor warming if the marine influence weakens slightly before resolution. No major forecast revisions or atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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