Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for overnight lows near 70–72°F at coastal stations like LAX, are the main driver behind trader positioning. Marine layer influence and the moderating effect of the Pacific Ocean typically limit minimum temperatures in Los Angeles during late August, though reduced cloud cover and warm advection from inland areas have kept recent nights warmer than the 66°F climatological average. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight on the 25th, supporting elevated probabilities for 68–73°F bins while assigning meaningful implied odds to sub-64°F outcomes only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated NWS guidance and any late marine layer strengthening remain key near-term variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
63°F or below 60%
66-67°F 25%
64-65°F 23.0%
74-75°F <1%
$3,143 Vol.
$3,143 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
60%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
63°F or below 60%
66-67°F 25%
64-65°F 23.0%
74-75°F <1%
$3,143 Vol.
$3,143 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
63°F or below
$152 Vol.
60%
64-65°F
$121 Vol.
23%
66-67°F
$36 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$32 Vol.
34%
70-71°F
$29 Vol.
34%
72-73°F
$25 Vol.
34%
74-75°F
$1,204 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$270 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$460 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$608 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for overnight lows near 70–72°F at coastal stations like LAX, are the main driver behind trader positioning. Marine layer influence and the moderating effect of the Pacific Ocean typically limit minimum temperatures in Los Angeles during late August, though reduced cloud cover and warm advection from inland areas have kept recent nights warmer than the 66°F climatological average. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight on the 25th, supporting elevated probabilities for 68–73°F bins while assigning meaningful implied odds to sub-64°F outcomes only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated NWS guidance and any late marine layer strengthening remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,143Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for overnight lows near 70–72°F at coastal stations like LAX, are the main driver behind trader positioning. Marine layer influence and the moderating effect of the Pacific Ocean typically limit minimum temperatures in Los Angeles during late August, though reduced cloud cover and warm advection from inland areas have kept recent nights warmer than the 66°F climatological average. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight on the 25th, supporting elevated probabilities for 68–73°F bins while assigning meaningful implied odds to sub-64°F outcomes only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated NWS guidance and any late marine layer strengthening remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,143Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions across Southern California, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for overnight lows near 70–72°F at coastal stations like LAX, are the main driver behind trader positioning. Marine layer influence and the moderating effect of the Pacific Ocean typically limit minimum temperatures in Los Angeles during late August, though reduced cloud cover and warm advection from inland areas have kept recent nights warmer than the 66°F climatological average. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight on the 25th, supporting elevated probabilities for 68–73°F bins while assigning meaningful implied odds to sub-64°F outcomes only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated NWS guidance and any late marine layer strengthening remain key near-term variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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