Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorology services points to a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 27, supporting the market's strong tilt toward 27°C at 51.5% implied probability. Northeasterly Etesian winds, high pressure, and clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while promoting moderate diurnal ranges, following a slight cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks. With minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions typical of late August, traders appear to weigh these verified model outputs heavily over outlier warmer scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
27°C 51%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
51%
28°C
33%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$126 Vol.
1%
26°C
$562 Vol.
14%
27°C
$965 Vol.
51%
28°C
$340 Vol.
33%
29°C
$178 Vol.
5%
30°C
$116 Vol.
1%
31°C
$121 Vol.
1%
32°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorology services points to a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 27, supporting the market's strong tilt toward 27°C at 51.5% implied probability. Northeasterly Etesian winds, high pressure, and clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while promoting moderate diurnal ranges, following a slight cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks. With minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions typical of late August, traders appear to weigh these verified model outputs heavily over outlier warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,715Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorology services points to a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 27, supporting the market's strong tilt toward 27°C at 51.5% implied probability. Northeasterly Etesian winds, high pressure, and clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while promoting moderate diurnal ranges, following a slight cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks. With minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions typical of late August, traders appear to weigh these verified model outputs heavily over outlier warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,715Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local Turkish meteorology services points to a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 27, supporting the market's strong tilt toward 27°C at 51.5% implied probability. Northeasterly Etesian winds, high pressure, and clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while promoting moderate diurnal ranges, following a slight cooling trend from recent 30–32°C peaks. With minimal precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions typical of late August, traders appear to weigh these verified model outputs heavily over outlier warmer scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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