**Persistent late-summer heat and high overnight minima have driven near-certain market consensus on an 82–83 °F low for Dallas on August 27, 2026.** A strong subtropical ridge has maintained elevated dew points and limited radiational cooling across North Texas, producing a string of unusually warm nights with recent lows in the low-to-mid 80s. Official National Weather Service observations and model guidance for the period showed minimal diurnal temperature drop under mostly clear but humid conditions, keeping the overnight minimum well above the 1991–2020 August average of ~76 °F. Traders have priced in this established pattern, reflected in the 100 % implied probability for the 82–83 °F bin. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of drier, cooler air or increased cloud cover to enhance cooling, but no such synoptic shift was indicated in the latest model runs or surface observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Dallas on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 27?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$3,534 Vol.
$3,534 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$3,534 Vol.
$3,534 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
75°F or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$154 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$231 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$108 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,486 Vol.
100%
84-85°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$83 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$242 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$468 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$350 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat and high overnight minima have driven near-certain market consensus on an 82–83 °F low for Dallas on August 27, 2026.**
A strong subtropical ridge has maintained elevated dew points and limited radiational cooling across North Texas, producing a string of unusually warm nights with recent lows in the low-to-mid 80s. Official National Weather Service observations and model guidance for the period showed minimal diurnal temperature drop under mostly clear but humid conditions, keeping the overnight minimum well above the 1991–2020 August average of ~76 °F. Traders have priced in this established pattern, reflected in the 100 % implied probability for the 82–83 °F bin.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of drier, cooler air or increased cloud cover to enhance cooling, but no such synoptic shift was indicated in the latest model runs or surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,534Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat and high overnight minima have driven near-certain market consensus on an 82–83 °F low for Dallas on August 27, 2026.**
A strong subtropical ridge has maintained elevated dew points and limited radiational cooling across North Texas, producing a string of unusually warm nights with recent lows in the low-to-mid 80s. Official National Weather Service observations and model guidance for the period showed minimal diurnal temperature drop under mostly clear but humid conditions, keeping the overnight minimum well above the 1991–2020 August average of ~76 °F. Traders have priced in this established pattern, reflected in the 100 % implied probability for the 82–83 °F bin.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of drier, cooler air or increased cloud cover to enhance cooling, but no such synoptic shift was indicated in the latest model runs or surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,534Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat and high overnight minima have driven near-certain market consensus on an 82–83 °F low for Dallas on August 27, 2026.** A strong subtropical ridge has maintained elevated dew points and limited radiational cooling across North Texas, producing a string of unusually warm nights with recent lows in the low-to-mid 80s. Official National Weather Service observations and model guidance for the period showed minimal diurnal temperature drop under mostly clear but humid conditions, keeping the overnight minimum well above the 1991–2020 August average of ~76 °F. Traders have priced in this established pattern, reflected in the 100 % implied probability for the 82–83 °F bin. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge of drier, cooler air or increased cloud cover to enhance cooling, but no such synoptic shift was indicated in the latest model runs or surface observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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