**Forecast consensus from official and major meteorological sources points to a high temperature of 22–24°C in Beijing on August 28, 2026, with showers or light rain expected under cloudy skies and light northwest to westerly winds.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including the China Meteorological Administration, align on this range due to a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C (cumulatively over 68%), as traders weigh the primary driver of suppressed maximum temperatures against minor model spread on exact timing of precipitation and clearing. Historical late-August norms near 30°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, driven by recent frontal activity that has already lowered readings in preceding days. Updated forecasts issued within the last 24–48 hours reinforce this outlook, with resolution hinging on the precise peak before any late-day moderation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
24°C 31%
23°C 22%
25°C 16%
22°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
16%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
11%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 31%
23°C 22%
25°C 16%
22°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$34 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$47 Vol.
22%
24°C
$4 Vol.
31%
25°C
$5 Vol.
16%
26°C
$20 Vol.
11%
27°C
$29 Vol.
6%
28°C
$7 Vol.
5%
29°C
$32 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and major meteorological sources points to a high temperature of 22–24°C in Beijing on August 28, 2026, with showers or light rain expected under cloudy skies and light northwest to westerly winds.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including the China Meteorological Administration, align on this range due to a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating.
This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C (cumulatively over 68%), as traders weigh the primary driver of suppressed maximum temperatures against minor model spread on exact timing of precipitation and clearing. Historical late-August norms near 30°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, driven by recent frontal activity that has already lowered readings in preceding days. Updated forecasts issued within the last 24–48 hours reinforce this outlook, with resolution hinging on the precise peak before any late-day moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$198Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and major meteorological sources points to a high temperature of 22–24°C in Beijing on August 28, 2026, with showers or light rain expected under cloudy skies and light northwest to westerly winds.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including the China Meteorological Administration, align on this range due to a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating.
This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C (cumulatively over 68%), as traders weigh the primary driver of suppressed maximum temperatures against minor model spread on exact timing of precipitation and clearing. Historical late-August norms near 30°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, driven by recent frontal activity that has already lowered readings in preceding days. Updated forecasts issued within the last 24–48 hours reinforce this outlook, with resolution hinging on the precise peak before any late-day moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$198Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official and major meteorological sources points to a high temperature of 22–24°C in Beijing on August 28, 2026, with showers or light rain expected under cloudy skies and light northwest to westerly winds.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance, including the China Meteorological Administration, align on this range due to a cooler air mass and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C (cumulatively over 68%), as traders weigh the primary driver of suppressed maximum temperatures against minor model spread on exact timing of precipitation and clearing. Historical late-August norms near 30°C highlight how atypical the current pattern is, driven by recent frontal activity that has already lowered readings in preceding days. Updated forecasts issued within the last 24–48 hours reinforce this outlook, with resolution hinging on the precise peak before any late-day moderation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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