Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cooling trend for Beijing driven by persistent rainfall and weak cold air advection, with the lowest temperature on August 27 expected near 19°C amid overcast skies and showers. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress both daytime maxima (projected 23–26°C) and overnight minima below the late-August climatological average of 20.2°C. Model consensus highlights northerly flow reinforcing this pattern through the 27th, consistent with historical analogs where similar frontal systems yield lows in the 17–20°C range. Market-implied odds favor 17°C or below at 46%, reflecting trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, while warmer outcomes above 23°C carry lower implied probability given the confirmed rain timing and limited recovery window before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
17°C or below 74%
18°C 48%
19°C 48%
23°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
74%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C
32%
21°C
31%
22°C
25%
23°C
48%
24°C
2%
25°C
17%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
9%
17°C or below 74%
18°C 48%
19°C 48%
23°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
74%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
32%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
15%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cooling trend for Beijing driven by persistent rainfall and weak cold air advection, with the lowest temperature on August 27 expected near 19°C amid overcast skies and showers. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress both daytime maxima (projected 23–26°C) and overnight minima below the late-August climatological average of 20.2°C. Model consensus highlights northerly flow reinforcing this pattern through the 27th, consistent with historical analogs where similar frontal systems yield lows in the 17–20°C range. Market-implied odds favor 17°C or below at 46%, reflecting trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, while warmer outcomes above 23°C carry lower implied probability given the confirmed rain timing and limited recovery window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cooling trend for Beijing driven by persistent rainfall and weak cold air advection, with the lowest temperature on August 27 expected near 19°C amid overcast skies and showers. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress both daytime maxima (projected 23–26°C) and overnight minima below the late-August climatological average of 20.2°C. Model consensus highlights northerly flow reinforcing this pattern through the 27th, consistent with historical analogs where similar frontal systems yield lows in the 17–20°C range. Market-implied odds favor 17°C or below at 46%, reflecting trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, while warmer outcomes above 23°C carry lower implied probability given the confirmed rain timing and limited recovery window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cooling trend for Beijing driven by persistent rainfall and weak cold air advection, with the lowest temperature on August 27 expected near 19°C amid overcast skies and showers. Cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation suppress both daytime maxima (projected 23–26°C) and overnight minima below the late-August climatological average of 20.2°C. Model consensus highlights northerly flow reinforcing this pattern through the 27th, consistent with historical analogs where similar frontal systems yield lows in the 17–20°C range. Market-implied odds favor 17°C or below at 46%, reflecting trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions, while warmer outcomes above 23°C carry lower implied probability given the confirmed rain timing and limited recovery window before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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