Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC place Kuala Lumpur’s maximum temperature for August 27 near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33 °C (41.5 % implied probability) and 32–34 °C combined. These probabilities reflect model consensus on typical southwest-monsoon conditions in the Klang Valley, where daytime heating under partly cloudy skies routinely produces highs of 32–34 °C against an August climatological mean near 32 °C. Early-month observations reached 35.7 °C, yet recent model runs and MetMalaysia guidance emphasize moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap extremes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 1–2 °C forecast spread and limited time before resolution, producing tight clustering around the most probable range while assigning minimal weight to outliers below 31 °C or above 35 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 27?
33°C 42%
32°C 24%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
24%
33°C
42%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 24%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
24%
33°C
42%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC place Kuala Lumpur’s maximum temperature for August 27 near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33 °C (41.5 % implied probability) and 32–34 °C combined. These probabilities reflect model consensus on typical southwest-monsoon conditions in the Klang Valley, where daytime heating under partly cloudy skies routinely produces highs of 32–34 °C against an August climatological mean near 32 °C. Early-month observations reached 35.7 °C, yet recent model runs and MetMalaysia guidance emphasize moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap extremes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow 1–2 °C forecast spread and limited time before resolution, producing tight clustering around the most probable range while assigning minimal weight to outliers below 31 °C or above 35 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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