Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 25, with trader consensus split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F brackets because afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant variables. Clearer skies and modest westerly flow would support the higher end by allowing greater surface heating, while increased marine-layer moisture or scattered clouds could cap readings near 78°F. These short-term uncertainties produce the tight 41.5 %–36.5 % market split, consistent with typical late-August climatology when daily highs average near 79°F but fluctuate several degrees with subtle synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and NWS afternoon discussions are the next key data points that could move the odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 38%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 38%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
67°F or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$288 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$413 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$182 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$214 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,975 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$2,352 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$467 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$547 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$156 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$123 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 25, with trader consensus split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F brackets because afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant variables. Clearer skies and modest westerly flow would support the higher end by allowing greater surface heating, while increased marine-layer moisture or scattered clouds could cap readings near 78°F. These short-term uncertainties produce the tight 41.5 %–36.5 % market split, consistent with typical late-August climatology when daily highs average near 79°F but fluctuate several degrees with subtle synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and NWS afternoon discussions are the next key data points that could move the odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,925Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 25, with trader consensus split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F brackets because afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant variables. Clearer skies and modest westerly flow would support the higher end by allowing greater surface heating, while increased marine-layer moisture or scattered clouds could cap readings near 78°F. These short-term uncertainties produce the tight 41.5 %–36.5 % market split, consistent with typical late-August climatology when daily highs average near 79°F but fluctuate several degrees with subtle synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and NWS afternoon discussions are the next key data points that could move the odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,925Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a highest temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 25, with trader consensus split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F brackets because afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant variables. Clearer skies and modest westerly flow would support the higher end by allowing greater surface heating, while increased marine-layer moisture or scattered clouds could cap readings near 78°F. These short-term uncertainties produce the tight 41.5 %–36.5 % market split, consistent with typical late-August climatology when daily highs average near 79°F but fluctuate several degrees with subtle synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and NWS afternoon discussions are the next key data points that could move the odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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