**Forecast models indicate mostly sunny skies under northwest airflow control, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30°C range for Beijing on August 30.** Recent observations show a transition from scattered light rain and lower maxima (around 29°C) on the 29th to clearer conditions, with ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office, WindBorne, and local meteorological services projecting highs of 31–33°C amid low humidity, light variable winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 33°C as the leading market outcome (45.5% implied probability) due to strong consensus on peak afternoon heating, while 32°C (34%) and 34°C (9.5%) capture remaining model spread from diurnal variations and boundary-layer details. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context, though the current setup favors an above-normal peak. Updated model runs and official Beijing Meteorological Bureau briefings will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
33°C 47%
32°C 34%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C
47%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 47%
32°C 34%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$514 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$292 Vol.
4%
31°C
$485 Vol.
9%
32°C
$449 Vol.
34%
33°C
$1,355 Vol.
47%
34°C
$538 Vol.
10%
35°C
$64 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$214 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate mostly sunny skies under northwest airflow control, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30°C range for Beijing on August 30.** Recent observations show a transition from scattered light rain and lower maxima (around 29°C) on the 29th to clearer conditions, with ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office, WindBorne, and local meteorological services projecting highs of 31–33°C amid low humidity, light variable winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 33°C as the leading market outcome (45.5% implied probability) due to strong consensus on peak afternoon heating, while 32°C (34%) and 34°C (9.5%) capture remaining model spread from diurnal variations and boundary-layer details. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context, though the current setup favors an above-normal peak. Updated model runs and official Beijing Meteorological Bureau briefings will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,355Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate mostly sunny skies under northwest airflow control, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30°C range for Beijing on August 30.** Recent observations show a transition from scattered light rain and lower maxima (around 29°C) on the 29th to clearer conditions, with ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office, WindBorne, and local meteorological services projecting highs of 31–33°C amid low humidity, light variable winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 33°C as the leading market outcome (45.5% implied probability) due to strong consensus on peak afternoon heating, while 32°C (34%) and 34°C (9.5%) capture remaining model spread from diurnal variations and boundary-layer details. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context, though the current setup favors an above-normal peak. Updated model runs and official Beijing Meteorological Bureau briefings will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,355Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate mostly sunny skies under northwest airflow control, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30°C range for Beijing on August 30.** Recent observations show a transition from scattered light rain and lower maxima (around 29°C) on the 29th to clearer conditions, with ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office, WindBorne, and local meteorological services projecting highs of 31–33°C amid low humidity, light variable winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 33°C as the leading market outcome (45.5% implied probability) due to strong consensus on peak afternoon heating, while 32°C (34%) and 34°C (9.5%) capture remaining model spread from diurnal variations and boundary-layer details. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context, though the current setup favors an above-normal peak. Updated model runs and official Beijing Meteorological Bureau briefings will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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