Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum of 23–24°C in Munich on August 29, driven by west-northwest flow and clearing skies after overnight showers. This positions trader consensus firmly around the 24°C (33%) and 25°C (41%) outcomes, reflecting modest warming above the 22.8°C long-term average high yet tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover and limited insolation. Minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities split, with any delayed clearing or stronger winds likely shifting readings between these two thresholds before official station measurements finalize resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 29?
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum of 23–24°C in Munich on August 29, driven by west-northwest flow and clearing skies after overnight showers. This positions trader consensus firmly around the 24°C (33%) and 25°C (41%) outcomes, reflecting modest warming above the 22.8°C long-term average high yet tempered by variable afternoon cloud cover and limited insolation. Minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps probabilities split, with any delayed clearing or stronger winds likely shifting readings between these two thresholds before official station measurements finalize resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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