Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to an overnight low of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with above-average late-summer temperatures observed in recent days and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18°C. Key variables that could shift the minimum include the timing and intensity of showers or any unexpected clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling, with updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like KNMI expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Historical averages for the date sit near 12.5°C, underscoring how current atmospheric patterns support the warmer consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
17°C 32%
16°C 26%
18°C 26%
13°C or below 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
14%
14°C
7%
15°C
10%
16°C
26%
17°C
32%
18°C
26%
19°C
9%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
10%
17°C 32%
16°C 26%
18°C 26%
13°C or below 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
32%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$20 Vol.
8%
21°C
$10 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
3%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to an overnight low of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with above-average late-summer temperatures observed in recent days and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18°C. Key variables that could shift the minimum include the timing and intensity of showers or any unexpected clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling, with updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like KNMI expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Historical averages for the date sit near 12.5°C, underscoring how current atmospheric patterns support the warmer consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to an overnight low of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with above-average late-summer temperatures observed in recent days and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18°C. Key variables that could shift the minimum include the timing and intensity of showers or any unexpected clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling, with updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like KNMI expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Historical averages for the date sit near 12.5°C, underscoring how current atmospheric patterns support the warmer consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to an overnight low of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, widespread cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with above-average late-summer temperatures observed in recent days and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–18°C. Key variables that could shift the minimum include the timing and intensity of showers or any unexpected clearing that enhances nocturnal cooling, with updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like KNMI expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Historical averages for the date sit near 12.5°C, underscoring how current atmospheric patterns support the warmer consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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