Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight clearing skies and light winds over Chengdu after scattered showers on August 29, supporting radiative cooling overnight and positioning the August 30 low temperature near 21–23°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with market-implied odds clustered around those values, where traders weigh typical August basin humidity against reduced cloud cover that enhances heat loss. Key variables include exact timing of any residual moisture, local urban heat effects, and minor model spreads in minimum readings. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and global ensembles expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
21°C 63%
28°C or higher 58%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 53%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
54%
19°C
25%
20°C
32%
21°C
63%
22°C
26%
23°C
40%
24°C
32%
25°C
16%
26°C
33%
27°C
53%
28°C or higher
58%
21°C 63%
28°C or higher 58%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 53%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$145 Vol.
54%
19°C
$54 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
32%
21°C
$0 Vol.
63%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
32%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$10 Vol.
33%
27°C
$145 Vol.
53%
28°C or higher
$145 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight clearing skies and light winds over Chengdu after scattered showers on August 29, supporting radiative cooling overnight and positioning the August 30 low temperature near 21–23°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with market-implied odds clustered around those values, where traders weigh typical August basin humidity against reduced cloud cover that enhances heat loss. Key variables include exact timing of any residual moisture, local urban heat effects, and minor model spreads in minimum readings. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and global ensembles expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$499Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight clearing skies and light winds over Chengdu after scattered showers on August 29, supporting radiative cooling overnight and positioning the August 30 low temperature near 21–23°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with market-implied odds clustered around those values, where traders weigh typical August basin humidity against reduced cloud cover that enhances heat loss. Key variables include exact timing of any residual moisture, local urban heat effects, and minor model spreads in minimum readings. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and global ensembles expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$499Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight clearing skies and light winds over Chengdu after scattered showers on August 29, supporting radiative cooling overnight and positioning the August 30 low temperature near 21–23°C as the consensus outcome. This aligns with market-implied odds clustered around those values, where traders weigh typical August basin humidity against reduced cloud cover that enhances heat loss. Key variables include exact timing of any residual moisture, local urban heat effects, and minor model spreads in minimum readings. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies and global ensembles expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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